Posts tagged forecasting

Counterfactual inference: calculating excess deaths due to COVID-19

• 04 July 2022
• Category: intermediate
• Tags: counterfactuals causal inference time series case study Bayesian workflow forecasting causal impact regression posterior predictive

Causal reasoning and counterfactual thinking are really interesting but complex topics! Nevertheless, we can make headway into understanding the ideas through relatively simple examples. This notebook focuses on the concepts and the practical implementation of Bayesian causal reasoning using PyMC.

Read more ...

---