Posts tagged causal impact

Interrupted time series analysis

• 26 October 2022
Benjamin T. Vincent
intermediate
causal inference quasi experiments forecasting causal impact time series counterfactuals

This notebook focuses on how to conduct a simple Bayesian interrupted time series analysis. This is useful in quasi-experimental settings where an intervention was applied to all treatment units.

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Counterfactual inference: calculating excess deaths due to COVID-19

• 26 July 2022
Benjamin T. Vincent
intermediate
causal inference forecasting case study causal impact time series regression posterior predictive Bayesian workflow counterfactuals

Causal reasoning and counterfactual thinking are really interesting but complex topics! Nevertheless, we can make headway into understanding the ideas through relatively simple examples. This notebook focuses on the concepts and the practical implementation of Bayesian causal reasoning using PyMC.

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